Monday, April 14, 2014

Global Macro Sentiment Edges Up; 3-Month US Sentiment Falls to 2 ½ Year Low

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RavenPack Global Macro Sentiment Review, Week Ending April 13th 2014

RavenPack’s measure of short-term global macro sentiment edged higher last week, helped by improvements for the US, EU and UK, but there were still more negative events than positive and the longer-term average of sentiment fell. Longer-term US sentiment also fell below neutral for the first time in 2 ½ years.

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Note: The one-month measure is an indicator of shorter-term macroeconomic sentiment and the three month measure a longer-term indicator. A score of 50 is neutral and the maximum range is 0 (most negative) to 100 (most positive).

Monday, April 7, 2014

Global Macro Sentiment Reaches Nine-Month Low; US, EU Hit Hardest

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RavenPack Global Macro Sentiment Review, Week Ending April 6th 2014

RavenPack’s Global Macro short-term sentiment indicator dropped sharply last week - to its lowest for nine months - with sentiment for the US, EU, UK and Japan all falling. Macro sentiment indicators for the US and EU fell sharply to multi-month lows, so it’s perhaps no surprise markets are off to a lower start this week.

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Note: The one-month measure is an indicator of shorter-term macroeconomic sentiment and the three month measure a longer-term indicator. A score of 50 is neutral and the maximum range is 0 (most negative) to 100 (most positive).

Monday, March 31, 2014

Global Macro Sentiment Edges Higher; US 3-Month MSI Falls to 29-Month Low

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RavenPack’s Global Macro sentiment indicators edged higher last week, but not thanks to the US where the three-month sentiment indicator fell to an intraweek 29-month low. RavenPack last week detected 555 non-neutral economic and geopolitical events published by Dow Jones, of which 306 were positive and 249 negative. 

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Note: The one-month measure is an indicator of shorter-term macroeconomic sentiment and the three month measure a longer-term indicator. A score of 50 is neutral and the maximum range is 0 (most negative) to 100 (most positive).

Monday, March 24, 2014

Longer-Term Global Macro Sentiment Slumps To Six Month Low

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 RavenPack Global Macro Sentiment Review, Week Ending March 23rd 2014

RavenPack’s three-month measure of longer-term global macroeconomic sentiment fell to a six month low last week, while the one-month measure hit its lowest point since early February. This after RavenPack last week detected 587 non-neutral economic and geopolitical events published by Dow Jones, of which 241 were positive and 346 negative. US sentiment also fell sharply.

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Note: The one-month measure is an indicator of shorter-term macroeconomic sentiment and the three month measure a longer-term indicator. A score of 50 is neutral and the maximum range is 0 (most negative) to 100 (most positive).

Monday, March 17, 2014

Global Macro Sentiment Declines; Trade Balances Dominate Negative Events

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RavenPack Global Macro Sentiment Review, Week Ending March 16th 2014

Short-term global macroeconomic sentiment declined last week, with the RavenPack one-month indicator now well off last week’s three-month high. Glancing through key events, it appears much of the short-term negativity is associated with weak trade or current account balances. The Japanese central bank comments highlight this, but also present hope that these are one-off situations...

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Note: The one-month measure is an indicator of shorter-term macroeconomic sentiment and the three month measure a longer-term indicator. A score of 50 is neutral and the maximum range is 0 (most negative) to 100 (most positive).

Monday, March 10, 2014

Global Macro Sentiment Hits Three-Month High Despite Chinese Shockers

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RavenPack Global Macro Sentiment Review, Week Ending March 9th 2014

Short-term global macroeconomic sentiment reached a three-month high Wednesday last week and finished higher overall, but off the highs for the week. Chinese data was one of the key causes of the weekend fall from the highs - and stock markets are down in Asia Monday as a result.

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Note: The one-month measure is an indicator of shorter-term macroeconomic sentiment and the three month measure a longer-term indicator. A score of 50 is neutral and the maximum range is 0 (most negative) to 100 (most positive).

Monday, March 3, 2014

Global Macro Sentiment Edges Higher; Ukraine Crisis Yet To Weigh

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RavenPack Global Macro Sentiment Review, Week Ending March 2nd 2014

Short-term global macroeconomic sentiment moved a little higher and closer to neutral last week, helped by sentiment for the US, UK and Japan. Events in the Ukraine do not appear to have weighed too heavily on sentiment just yet, but if they lead to a collapse in relations between Russia and the other G8 countries that may change.

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Note: The one-month measure is an indicator of shorter-term macroeconomic sentiment and the three month measure a longer-term indicator. A score of 50 is neutral and the maximum range is 0 (most negative) to 100 (most positive).